Thursday, September 13, 2018

"Impossible" Jobs Growth Has Happened!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/business/2018/09/09/under-trump-jobs-boom-has-finally-reached-blue-collar-workers-will-it-last/?utm_term=.c691d2437b45&__twitter_impression=true

"The experts" were happy to tell us that Trump was "lying again" ... there was NOT going to be growth in manufacturing jobs!

My definition of "expert" is "always certain, freqently wrong". It would be great if they were only wrong outside of their field of study, but in fact they are often most egregiously wrong IN the field of their supposed expertise. Some of the "big ones" of my lifetime ...

World Hunger -- This was a huge as I was growing up in the 60's and 70's (remember the starving children in India!) and had been an issue since Malthus. To claim that it was less than a crisis was to have no heart during ny school years. It was DEFINITELY going to get worse, MUCH WORSE! There was simply no denying it, the experts all agreed!

Cholesterol / Carbs / Food Pyramid -- If anyone cared, this government debacle has probably killed more people than any other policy outside abortion (60 million and climbing). If they did it now, fruits and veggies would be at the bottom, then likely meats and dairy, with carbs 2nd from the top and sugars taking the peak ... but millions have died from overweight and millions are still dealing with it. THANKS EXPERTS! They "knew what they were doing"! Load up on those carbs!

Peak Oil -- In the late '70's and early 80's you were more dense than a current climate change denier if you claimed that there was "plenty of oil". All the "experts" assured us that we were WELL past "peak oil", and we were just counting down to the end. Anyone foolish enough to question them was a dangerous idiot! This from here.

Global proved oil reserves in 2017 fell slightly by 0.5 billion barrels (-0.03%) to 1696.6 billion barrels, which would be sufficient to meet 50.2 years of global production at 2017 levels


 The end of the USSR -- When Reagan was elected and started talking about Communism and the USSR being well past their "Born on Date", he was universally maligned as an idiot, a dangerous warmonger, out of touch with reality, etc, etc The intelligencia were all completely certain that the USSR was AT LEAST as likely to be around for the long run as the US! Here is just one little quite from the NY Times about a Strobe Talbot book of '84 -- "Strobe" was a leading light of the day, MUCH smarter than Reagan!

He is particularly mocking of Mr. Reagan, who, Mr. Talbott writes, liked to give speeches on arms control, ''but behind the scenes, where decisions were made and policy was set, he was to remain a detached, sometimes befuddled character.'' Mr. Talbott says that even though Mr. Reagan presided at 16 meetings of the National Security Council on strategic arms talks, ''there was ample evidence, during those meetings and on other occasions as well, that he frequently did not understand basic aspects of the nuclear weapons issue and of policies being promulgated in his name.''
 Yes, Reagan thought that WINNING was an objective -- Strobe was certain that was crazy talk. It can be an really great thing when the experts are CERTAIN that the president is "crazy".!

The WaPO article is a classic example of "good news" when TP is not in power ... "Will it last"? "Is it REALLY bad news is we look deeper", "Can we trust the numbers" !!!

All those would be REALLY good questions if they were applied to BOTH sides of politics!

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